8. References

Balshi, M. S., A. D. McGuire, Q. Zhuang, J. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, E. Kasischke, C. Wirth, M. Flannigan, J. Harden, J. S. Clein, T. J. Burnside, J. McAllister, W. A. Kurz, M. Apps, and A. Shvidenko. 2007. The role of historical fire disturbance in the carbon dynamics of the pan-boreal region: A process-based analysis. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 112. https://doi.org/10.1029/2006JG000380

Balshi, M. S., A. D. Mcguire, P. Duffy, M. Flannigan, D. W. Kicklighter, and J. Melillo. 2009. Vulnerability of carbon storage in North American boreal forests to wildfires during the 21st century. Global Change Biology 15. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01877.x

Balshi, M. S., A. D. McGuire, P. Duffy, M. Flannigan, J. Walsh, and J. Melillo. 2009. Assessing the response of area burned to changing climate in western boreal North America using a Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) approach. Global Change Biology 15. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01679.x

Beringer, J., A. H. Lynch, F. S. I. Chapin, M. Mack, and G. B. Bonan. 2001. The representation of arctic soils in the land surface model: The importance of mosses. Journal of Climate 14. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<3324:TROASI>2.0.CO;2

Decker, M., and X. Zeng. 2009. Impact of Modified Richards Equation on Global Soil Moisture Simulation in the Community Land Model (CLM3.5). Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 1. https://doi.org/10.3894/james.2009.1.5

Euskirchen, E. S., C. W. Edgar, M. R. Turetsky, M. P. Waldrop, and J. W. Harden. 2014. Differential response of carbon fluxes to climate in three peatland ecosystems that vary in the presence and stability of permafrost. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 119. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JG002683

Euskirchen, E. S., A. D. Mcguire, F. S. Chapin, S. Yi, and C. C. Thompson. 2009. Changes in vegetation in northern Alaska under scenarios of climate change, 2003-2100: implications for climate feedbacks. Ecological Applications 19. https://doi.org/10.1890/08-0806.1

Euskirchen, E. S., A. D. McGuire, D. W. Kicklighter, Q. Zhuang, J. S. Clein, R. J. Dargaville, D. G. Dye, J. S. Kimball, K. C. McDonald, J. M. Melillo, V. E. Romanovsky, and N. V. Smith. 2006. Importance of recent shifts in soil thermal dynamics on growing season length, productivity, and carbon sequestration in terrestrial high-latitude ecosystems. Global Change Biology 12. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01113.x

Euskirchen, E. S., T. B. Carman, and A. D. Mcguire. 2014. Changes in the structure and function of northern Alaskan ecosystems when considering variable leaf-out times across groupings of species in a dynamic vegetation model. Global Change Biology 20. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12392

Euskirchen, E. S., S. P. Serbin, T. B. Carman, J. M. Fraterrigo, H. Genet, C. M. Iversen, V. Salmon, and A. D. McGuire. 2022. Assessing dynamic vegetation model parameter uncertainty across Alaskan arctic tundra plant communities. Ecological Applications 32. https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.2499

Fan, Z., A. David Mcguire, M. R. Turetsky, J. W. Harden, J. Michael Waddington, and E. S. Kane. 2013. The response of soil organic carbon of a rich fen peatland in interior Alaska to projected climate change. Global Change Biology 19. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12041

Genet, H., A. D. McGuire, K. Barrett, A. Breen, E. S. Euskirchen, J. F. Johnstone, E. S. Kasischke, A. M. Melvin, A. Bennett, M. C. Mack, T. S. Rupp, A. E. G. Schuur, M. R. Turetsky, and F. Yuan. 2013. Modeling the effects of fire severity and climate warming on active layer thickness and soil carbon storage of black spruce forests across the landscape in interior Alaska. Environmental Research Letters 8. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/4/045016

Genet, H., Y. He, Z. Lyu, A. D. McGuire, Q. Zhuang, J. Clein, D. D’Amore, A. Bennett, A. Breen, F. Biles, E. S. Euskirchen, K. Johnson, T. Kurkowski, S. Kushch Schroder, N. Pastick, T. S. Rupp, B. Wylie, Y. Zhang, X. Zhou, and Z. Zhu. 2018. The role of driving factors in historical and projected carbon dynamics of upland ecosystems in Alaska: Ecological Applications 28. https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.1641

Hayes, D. J., A. D. McGuire, D. W. Kicklighter, K. R. Gurney, T. J. Burnside, and J. M. Melillo. 2011. Is the northern high-latitude land-based CO 2 sink weakening? Global Biogeochemical Cycles 25. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GB003813

Hayes, D. J., A. D. McGuire, D. W. Kicklighter, T. J. Burnside, and J. M. Melillo. 2011. The effects of land cover and land use change on the contemporary carbon balance of the arctic and boreal terrestrial ecosystems of Northern Eurasia. Page Eurasian Arctic Land Cover and Land Use in a Changing Climate. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-9118-5_6

Jordan, R. 1991. A One-Dimensional Temperature Model for a Snow Cover: Technical Documentation for SNTHERM.89. Page U.S.Army Corps of Engineers, Cold Regions Research & Engineering Laboratory. http://hdl.handle.net/11681/11677

Kelly, R., H. Genet, A. D. McGuire, and F. S. Hu. 2016. Palaeodata-informed modelling of large carbon losses from recent burning of boreal forests. Nature Climate Change 6. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2832

Lara, M. J., A. D. Mcguire, E. S. Euskirchen, C. E. Tweedie, K. M. Hinkel, A. N. Skurikhin, V. E. Romanovsky, G. Grosse, W. R. Bolton, and H. Genet. 2015. Polygonal tundra geomorphological change in response to warming alters future CO2 and CH4 flux on the Barrow Peninsula. Global Change Biology 21. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12757

Lundin, L. C. 1990. Hydraulic properties in an operational model of frozen soil. Journal of Hydrology 118. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-1694(90)90264-X

Lyu, Z., H. Genet, Y. He, Q. Zhuang, A. D. McGuire, A. Bennett, A. Breen, J. Clein, E. S. Euskirchen, K. Johnson, T. Kurkowski, N. J. Pastick, T. S. Rupp, B. K. Wylie, and Z. Zhu. 2018. The role of environmental driving factors in historical and projected carbon dynamics of wetland ecosystems in Alaska. Ecological Applications 28. https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.1755

McGuire, A. D., J. M. Melillo, L. A. Joyce, D. W. Kicklighter, A. L. Grace, B. Moore, and C. J. Vorosmarty. 1992. Interactions between carbon and nitrogen dynamics in estimating net primary productivity for potential vegetation in North America. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 6. https://doi.org/10.1029/92GB00219

McGuire, A. D., H. Genet, Z. Lyu, N. Pastick, S. Stackpoole, R. Birdsey, D. D’Amore, Y. He, T. S. Rupp, R. Striegl, B. K. Wylie, X. Zhou, Q. Zhuang, and Z. Zhu. 2018. Assessing historical and projected carbon balance of Alaska: A synthesis of results and policy/management implications. Ecological Applications 28. https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.1768

Niu, G. Y., Z. L. Yang, R. E. Dickinson, and L. E. Gulden. 2005. A simple TOPMODEL-based runoff parameterization (SIMTOP) for use in global climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres 110. https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JD006111

Raich, J. W., E. B. Rastetter, J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, P. A. Steudler, B. J. Peterson, A. L. Grace, B. Moore, and C. J. Vorosmarty. 1991. Potential net primary productivity in south-america - application of a global-model. Ecological Applications 1:399–429. https://doi.org/10.2307/1941899

Raleigh, M. S., C. C. Landry, M. Hayashi, W. L. Quinton, and J. D. Lundquist. 2013. Approximating snow surface temperature from standard temperature and humidity data: New possibilities for snow model and remote sensing evaluation. Water Resources Research 49. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013WR013958

Swenson, S. C., D. M. Lawrence, and H. Lee. 2012. Improved simulation of the terrestrial hydrological cycle in permafrost regions by the Community Land Model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 4. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012MS000165

Tian, H., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, A. D. McGuire, and J. Helfrich. 1999. The sensitivity of terrestrial carbon storage to historical climate variability and atmospheric CO2 in the United States. Tellus Series B-Chemical and Physical Meteorology 51:414–452. from mendeley: 10.3402/tellusb.v51i2.16318 https://doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0889.1999.00021.x

Walter, B. P., and M. Heimann. 2000. A process-based, climate-sensitive model to derive methane emissions from natural wetlands: Application to five wetland sites, sensitivity to model parameters, and climate. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 14:745–765. https://doi.org/10.1029/1999gb001204

Woo, M. K., M. A. Arain, M. Mollinga, and S. Yi. 2004. A two-directional freeze and thaw algorithm for hydrologic and land surface modelling. Geophysical Research Letters 31:L12501. https://doi.org/10.1029/2004gl019475

Yi, S., A. D. McGuire, J. Harden, E. Kasischke, K. Manies, L. Hinzman, A. Liljedahl, J. Randerson, H. Liu, V. Romanovsky, S. Marchenko, and Y. Kim. 2009. Interactions between soil thermal and hydrological dynamics in the response of Alaska ecosystems to fire disturbance. Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences 114:G02015. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008jg000841

Yi, S., A. D. McGuire, E. Kasischke, J. Harden, K. Manies, M. Mack, and M. Turetsky. 2010. A dynamic organic soil biogeochemical model for simulating the effects of wildfire on soil environmental conditions and carbon dynamics of black spruce forests. Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences 115. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010jg001302

Yuan, F. M., S. H. Yi, A. D. McGuire, K. D. Johnson, J. Liang, J. W. Harden, E. S. Kasischke, and W. A. Kurz. 2012. Assessment of boreal forest historical C dynamics in the Yukon River Basin: relative roles of warming and fire regime change. Ecological Applications 22:2091–2109. https://doi.org/10.1890/11-1957.1

Zhuang, Q., A. D. McGuire, J. M. Melillo, J. S. Clein, R. J. Dargaville, D. W. Kicklighter, R. B. Myneni, J. Dong, V. E. Romanovsky, J. Harden, and J. E. Hobbie. 2003. Carbon cycling in extratropical terrestrial ecosystems of the Northern Hemisphere during the 20th century: a modeling analysis of the influences of soil thermal dynamics. Tellus Series B-Chemical and Physical Meteorology 55:751–776. https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusb.v55i3.16368

Zhuang, Q., A. D. McGuire, K. P. O’Neill, J. W. Harden, V. E. Romanovsky, and J. Yarie. 2003. Modeling soil thermal and carbon dynamics of a fire chronosequence in interior Alaska. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 108. https://doi.org/10.1029/2001jd001244

Zhuang, Q., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, R. G. Prinn, A. D. McGuire, P. A. Steudler, B. S. Felzer, and S. Hu. 2004. Methane fluxes between terrestrial ecosystems and the atmosphere at northern high latitudes during the past century: A retrospective analysis with a process-based biogeochemistry model. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 18. https://doi.org/10.1029/2004GB002239